NFL Draft – Fantasy Losers

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4 Days, 262 Picks & 35 Trades later – the NFL Draft officially is in the books. Yes, it’s only May 2nd but that makes the perfect time to discuss fantasy losers.

I wont waste your time with cheap lingo. Let’s get into it.

Michael Carter:

This isn’t rocket science. Last week at this time, Michael Carter was an excited prospect. Today he’s the biggest loser in fantasy football.

Despite an encouraging rookie season, Michael Carter averaged just 8.6 carries per game in 2021. The former UNC tailback never has profiled as a true workhorse, even dating back to his collegiate days when he was splitting touches with current Denver Broncos RB Javonte Williams. Carter showed flashes of excellence last year – flourishing in the pass game, becoming a reliable check-down option for Zack Wilson. Only one rookie RB finished with more targets than Carter – Najee Harris.

Unfortunately, the dream is dead. The Jets used their second round pick on RB Breece Hall. The Iowa State standout was the first RB selected in the NFL Draft – suggesting he will have a pivotal role from the jump.

Carter will still have fantasy value, but his upside is severely capped. He’s a fringe RB3.

 Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Aaron Rodgers:

The Packers traded Davante Adams and replaced him with Christian Watson. Let that sink in for a second. The audacity.

I refuse to believe the Packers head into the season with a rookie WR from South Dakota State as their #1 WR. It’s likely the Packers go after the Odell Beckham’s & Jarvis Landry’s of the world – but as of today – The 4x MVP is a fringe QB1.

Despite Rodgers laundry list of accolades the Packers have surrounded him with one of the worst WR groups in the league. Listen, nothing against Christian Waston, or Allen Lazard, but they simple don’t fill the void of Davante Adams – who over the last two seasons has AVERAGED 159 targets, 1463 yards & 14.5 TD’s.  The Rodgers/Adams connection was the most prolific QB/WR combo in the sport.

The Bottom line: You don’t replace Davante Adams.

Diontae Johnson:

I’m ready for the backlash on this one. Diontae Johnson’s fantasy success has been in large part to his impeccable target share. Despite a mind numbing 303 targets, Johnson has averaged just 1024 yards over the last two years. 17 skill players surpassed 1024 yards in 2021. This year – 24.  With Ben Roethlisberger now officially retired – the Steelers turn the ball over to the dream of Mitch Tribusky & Kenny Pickett.

Even if the unproven QB’s are an “upgrade” over noodle arm Roetlisberger, there is no evidence to show that Johnson will replicate his unrealistic target share. For all we know, a new QB opens up the Arial attack for the Steelers – aiding the Chase Claypool’s of the world. The bottom line: A new QB creates mass uncertainty.

Icing on the cake – Pittsburgh drafted George Pickens in Round 2. A run first team, with QB questions & a three WR’s competing for targets =  a fade for MD. I was on the Diontae train last year. This year i’m off it.

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